Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.689224 3.925270 4.179365 4.475181 4.812674 5.188916 5.644718
2025-06-08 3.338806 3.651061 4.005697 4.444648 4.982900 5.635199 6.509130
2025-06-15 3.106013 3.471295 3.904667 4.469987 5.210160 6.183262 7.634887
2025-06-22 2.856020 3.241136 3.712550 4.352033 5.233403 6.473533 8.513438
2025-06-29 2.628301 3.015735 3.500925 4.178729 5.151094 6.597740 9.192959
2025-07-06 2.470121 2.863608 3.367135 4.090920 5.171841 6.877175 10.253170
2025-07-13 2.419741 2.844204 3.403525 4.240223 5.565044 7.853686 13.223972
2025-07-20 2.345941 2.787015 3.381712 4.300433 5.828702 8.694664 16.723964
2025-07-27 2.323885 2.796552 3.451982 4.506471 6.378716 10.327476 25.399314
2025-08-03 2.279025 2.770403 3.467167 4.626134 6.802824 11.932952 40.851637
2025-08-10 2.193671 2.681335 3.381362 4.567734 6.869927 12.686250 58.326735
2025-08-17 2.091488 2.562817 3.243191 4.406243 6.698146 12.689169 70.348239
2025-08-24 2.005227 2.470281 3.149730 4.333229 6.746467 13.574887 144.417033
2025-08-31 1.933777 2.395916 3.079922 4.296121 6.873397 14.899818 132078.670164
2025-09-07 1.879876 2.344467 3.042502 4.314100 7.138374 17.135742 NaN
2025-09-14 1.803381 2.255654 2.939770 4.199835 7.060672 17.865771 NaN
2025-09-21 1.722635 2.157123 2.816071 4.035072 6.827066 17.659469 NaN
2025-09-28 1.663602 2.088871 2.737906 3.951164 6.789834 18.576480 NaN
2025-10-05 1.650886 2.089782 2.772388 4.089758 7.387191 24.863918 NaN
2025-10-12 1.623693 2.066985 2.765628 4.145181 7.778240 31.854058 NaN
2025-10-19 1.620176 2.080398 2.820744 4.336645 8.682984 56.447521 NaN
2025-10-26 1.603347 2.071845 2.837013 4.447480 9.393178 116.095129 NaN
2025-11-02 1.563508 2.024878 2.782470 4.392898 9.467356 174.159324 NaN